Comments on: Assessing 2009 Predictions http://theappslab.com/2009/12/30/assessing-2009-predictions/ Driving Innovation Fri, 25 May 2012 00:23:00 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.2 By: Jake http://theappslab.com/2009/12/30/assessing-2009-predictions/comment-page-1/#comment-13343 Jake Thu, 31 Dec 2009 23:57:28 +0000 http://theappslab.com/?p=4140#comment-13343 You might want to check my 2010 predictions post, since one is about geo. I'm expecting a lot of investment, but very little adoption.<br><br>I stayed away from Chrome OS b/c it's not likely to be ready until late 2010, at least according to Google. <br><br>I also stayed away from cloud computing, but I expect you're right. It'll keep growing, despite more data and security failures. You might want to check my 2010 predictions post, since one is about geo. I'm expecting a lot of investment, but very little adoption.

I stayed away from Chrome OS b/c it's not likely to be ready until late 2010, at least according to Google.

I also stayed away from cloud computing, but I expect you're right. It'll keep growing, despite more data and security failures.

]]> By: robertbielenstein http://theappslab.com/2009/12/30/assessing-2009-predictions/comment-page-1/#comment-13342 robertbielenstein Thu, 31 Dec 2009 22:33:47 +0000 http://theappslab.com/?p=4140#comment-13342 If I was to share my two cents, I'd say location-based services are coming on big in the mid-term future. Maybe not in 2010, but soonish. Nokia for instance is investing a lot in that direction already.<br><br>And I'm curious upon Chrome OS and it's impact, and cloude computing in general. I'd say thin clients and centralization of computing power is what's going to happen. But - we'll see! ;-) If I was to share my two cents, I'd say location-based services are coming on big in the mid-term future. Maybe not in 2010, but soonish. Nokia for instance is investing a lot in that direction already.

And I'm curious upon Chrome OS and it's impact, and cloude computing in general. I'd say thin clients and centralization of computing power is what's going to happen. But – we'll see! ;-)

]]> By: Jake http://theappslab.com/2009/12/30/assessing-2009-predictions/comment-page-1/#comment-10746 Jake Thu, 31 Dec 2009 15:57:28 +0000 http://theappslab.com/?p=4140#comment-10746 You might want to check my 2010 predictions post, since one is about geo. I'm expecting a lot of investment, but very little adoption.<br><br>I stayed away from Chrome OS b/c it's not likely to be ready until late 2010, at least according to Google. <br><br>I also stayed away from cloud computing, but I expect you're right. It'll keep growing, despite more data and security failures. You might want to check my 2010 predictions post, since one is about geo. I'm expecting a lot of investment, but very little adoption.

I stayed away from Chrome OS b/c it's not likely to be ready until late 2010, at least according to Google.

I also stayed away from cloud computing, but I expect you're right. It'll keep growing, despite more data and security failures.

]]> By: robertbielenstein http://theappslab.com/2009/12/30/assessing-2009-predictions/comment-page-1/#comment-10743 robertbielenstein Thu, 31 Dec 2009 14:33:47 +0000 http://theappslab.com/?p=4140#comment-10743 If I was to share my two cents, I'd say location-based services are coming on big in the mid-term future. Maybe not in 2010, but soonish. Nokia for instance is investing a lot in that direction already.<br><br>And I'm curious upon Chrome OS and it's impact, and cloude computing in general. I'd say thin clients and centralization of computing power is what's going to happen. But - we'll see! ;-) If I was to share my two cents, I'd say location-based services are coming on big in the mid-term future. Maybe not in 2010, but soonish. Nokia for instance is investing a lot in that direction already.

And I'm curious upon Chrome OS and it's impact, and cloude computing in general. I'd say thin clients and centralization of computing power is what's going to happen. But – we'll see! ;-)

]]> By: Jake http://theappslab.com/2009/12/30/assessing-2009-predictions/comment-page-1/#comment-10721 Jake Wed, 30 Dec 2009 21:01:13 +0000 http://theappslab.com/?p=4140#comment-10721 Interesting point, especially as it applies to Twitter. I remember thinking along those lines, and I should have blogged something at the time. <br><br>You're correct; it is a new path to monetization. They've been fortunate that their backers have allowed them to stay 1) independent and 2) on the path to building usage vs. veering off to create immediate revenue. Somehow I don't think that's a very replicable model though.<br><br>I like sharing opinions, and this time of year is good for it. Interesting point, especially as it applies to Twitter. I remember thinking along those lines, and I should have blogged something at the time.

You're correct; it is a new path to monetization. They've been fortunate that their backers have allowed them to stay 1) independent and 2) on the path to building usage vs. veering off to create immediate revenue. Somehow I don't think that's a very replicable model though.

I like sharing opinions, and this time of year is good for it.

]]> By: John E. Bredehoft (Empoprises) http://theappslab.com/2009/12/30/assessing-2009-predictions/comment-page-1/#comment-10718 John E. Bredehoft (Empoprises) Wed, 30 Dec 2009 20:36:54 +0000 http://theappslab.com/?p=4140#comment-10718 Regarding tech predictions, the fascinating part isn't WHETHER the predictions were right or wrong, but WHY they were right or wrong. <br><br>Take, for example, your random thought that Chrome would become Dell's de facto browser and thus gain a much wider adoption. It didn't happen, but it will be fascinating to see if a major computer line does choose to bundle Google Chrome, or some new product that hasn't been bundled before. (I'm thinking of the United States here, not Europe.)<br><br>Twitter's business model (one you got right) is equally fascinating, especially when you consider that Twitter's first crack at monetization wasn't from selling something to its users, but by effectively selling its data to two companies that are engaged in their own war for supremacy. Perhaps that's the new startup model - instead of developing a product and selling it to Google, perhaps future entrepreneurs will enjoy success by developing a product and selling it to Google AND Microsoft. <br><br>As for me, I shy away from predictions unless they're really really safe ("Oracle will buy more companies"). Regarding tech predictions, the fascinating part isn't WHETHER the predictions were right or wrong, but WHY they were right or wrong.

Take, for example, your random thought that Chrome would become Dell's de facto browser and thus gain a much wider adoption. It didn't happen, but it will be fascinating to see if a major computer line does choose to bundle Google Chrome, or some new product that hasn't been bundled before. (I'm thinking of the United States here, not Europe.)

Twitter's business model (one you got right) is equally fascinating, especially when you consider that Twitter's first crack at monetization wasn't from selling something to its users, but by effectively selling its data to two companies that are engaged in their own war for supremacy. Perhaps that's the new startup model – instead of developing a product and selling it to Google, perhaps future entrepreneurs will enjoy success by developing a product and selling it to Google AND Microsoft.

As for me, I shy away from predictions unless they're really really safe (“Oracle will buy more companies”).

]]>