Twitter as Plumbing
Cue the jokes.
So, Chet (@oraclenerd) floated this notion, originally proposed in the NYT, and it’s completely true. Check the evidence: $25 million from Google and Microsoft to pump the firehose of tweets into search results, a full ecosystem built around the Twitter API, even an apps marketplace, Oneforty, built around the ecosystem.
Incidentally, Oneforty, the brainchild of Laura Fitton (@Pistachio), who covered OraTweet back in the day, recently raised some venture money and will be debuting its premium service next week.
So yeah, Twitter has become plumbing. I like the analogy because if Twitter gets clogged, then a lot of parties get, ahem, downstream, problems.
This is fun.
But check out “How Much Are Twitter’s Tweets Really Worth?” in BusinessWeek today for an interesting perspective.
Last year, Twitter’s 50 million users posted 8 billion tweets, according to research firm Synopsos, which means Google and Microsoft are paying roughly 3¢ for every 1,000 tweets. That’s a pittance in the world of online advertising. Top media sites often get $10 or $20 per thousand page views; even remnant inventory, leftover Web pages that get sold through ad networks, goes for 50¢ to $1 per thousand. The deals put “almost no value” on Twitter’s data, says Donnovan Andrews, vice-president of strategic development for the digital marketing agency Tribal Fusion.
OK, that really does add perspective.
In fact, it makes we wonder if the ecosystem might benefit more financially from tweets that Twitter actually does.
This is, of course, a tried and true business model for the Interwebs.
Look at Google. With Page Rank, they created a fast and accurate way to find information and took off from there. Google didn’t initially create content (or anything for that matter); they simply provided the plumbing.
Likewise, Twitter doesn’t create content, users do. Twitter, through its API, provides easy access to the content.
Unlike Google, Twitter’s path to this point was rife with uncertainty. Imagine hearing this pitched as a business plan in 2006. Way too much risk, which makes me assume a lot of Twitter’s success was happily accidental.
Twitter’s future isn’t assured either. I suppose, assuming continued growth, that they could negotiate higher prices for access, or use metadata, like geo-tagging, to up the asking price per tweet.
Facebook is a wildcard in the plumbing game (ah, the NSFW puns). Privacy concerns prevent them from turning on a firehose that would rival Twitter’s, but they seem determined to open up people’s News Feeds.
At a paltry $0.03 per update price, I doubt Facebook would care, but if the value rises, expect a battle over data ownership to ensue.
Thoughts you’d like to share? Sound off in the comments.




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